Karlstad II vs Vanersborgs FK Prediction & Preview
Division 2 (Sweden) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 11:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION 2 (SWEDEN)
Karlstad II vs Vanersborgs FK
Model pick: Draw (39%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.78 – 0.48
Total goals: 1.3
Over 2.5: 26%
Both teams score: 37%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Karlstad II | Vanersborgs FK |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.75 / 1.5 | 1.0 / 2.25 |
*Karlstad II shown at home, Vanersborgs FK shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Karlstad II — last 5
LLDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Vanersborgs FK — last 5
LLWL
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Karlstad II (home) | Vanersborgs FK (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
Division 2 (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.27
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 56%
Use these Division 2 (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.78 vs 0.48):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (28%) |
| Double chance — Karlstad II or draw (1X) | 79% |
| Double chance — Vanersborgs FK or draw (X2) | 61% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 60% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 36% / 64% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 4% / 96% |
| Karlstad II clean sheet | 62% |
| Vanersborgs FK clean sheet | 46% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
39%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (74% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Karlstad II vs Vanersborgs FK — FAQ
Who will win Karlstad II vs Vanersborgs FK?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 39%. Full probabilities: Karlstad II 38%, draw 39%, Vanersborgs FK 22%.
Will both teams score in Karlstad II vs Vanersborgs FK?
The model gives a 37% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Karlstad II vs Vanersborgs FK?
Expected goals are 0.78 for Karlstad II and 0.48 for Vanersborgs FK — about 1.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Karlstad II vs Vanersborgs FK?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (28%). Double chance for Karlstad II or draw is 79%.