Karvina B vs FK Frydek-Mistek Prediction & Preview
Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) · Sep 02, 2026 · kickoff 14:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 3 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Karvina B vs FK Frydek-Mistek
Model pick: FK Frydek-Mistek (56%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.78 – 1.71
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 50%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Karvina B | FK Frydek-Mistek |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.6 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
*Karvina B shown at home, FK Frydek-Mistek shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Karvina B — last 5
LLWDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
FK Frydek-Mistek — last 5
LWDWL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Karvina B (home) | FK Frydek-Mistek (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 50% |
Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.04
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 47%
Use these Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.78 vs 1.71):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (14%) |
| Double chance — Karvina B or draw (1X) | 40% |
| Double chance — FK Frydek-Mistek or draw (X2) | 83% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 71% / 29% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 24% / 76% |
| Karvina B clean sheet | 18% |
| FK Frydek-Mistek clean sheet | 46% |
🎯 Our Verdict
FK Frydek-Mistek is the model's most likely outcome at
56%. Despite playing away, FK Frydek-Mistek edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Karvina B vs FK Frydek-Mistek — FAQ
Who will win Karvina B vs FK Frydek-Mistek?
Our statistical model makes FK Frydek-Mistek the most likely result at 56%. Full probabilities: Karvina B 19%, draw 25%, FK Frydek-Mistek 56%.
Will both teams score in Karvina B vs FK Frydek-Mistek?
The model gives a 50% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Karvina B vs FK Frydek-Mistek?
Expected goals are 0.78 for Karvina B and 1.71 for FK Frydek-Mistek — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Karvina B vs FK Frydek-Mistek?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (14%). Double chance for Karvina B or draw is 40%.