Kassel 2 vs Fernwald Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 13:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Kassel 2 vs Fernwald
Model pick: Fernwald (35%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.74 – 0.84
Total goals: 1.6
Over 2.5: 33%
Both teams score: 42%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Kassel 2 | Fernwald |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.75 / 1.25 | 1.25 / 1.25 |
*Kassel 2 shown at home, Fernwald shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Kassel 2 — last 5
WLLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Fernwald — last 5
WDDL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Kassel 2 (home) | Fernwald (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.47
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.74 vs 0.84):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (21%) |
| Double chance — Kassel 2 or draw (1X) | 65% |
| Double chance — Fernwald or draw (X2) | 71% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 64% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 47% / 53% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 8% / 92% |
| Kassel 2 clean sheet | 43% |
| Fernwald clean sheet | 48% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Fernwald is the model's most likely outcome at
35%. Despite playing away, Fernwald edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (67% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Kassel 2 vs Fernwald — FAQ
Who will win Kassel 2 vs Fernwald?
Our statistical model makes Fernwald the most likely result at 35%. Full probabilities: Kassel 2 30%, draw 35%, Fernwald 35%.
Will both teams score in Kassel 2 vs Fernwald?
The model gives a 42% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Kassel 2 vs Fernwald?
Expected goals are 0.74 for Kassel 2 and 0.84 for Fernwald — about 1.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Kassel 2 vs Fernwald?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (21%). Double chance for Kassel 2 or draw is 65%.