KDV Tomsk vs Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 Prediction & Preview
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) · Aug 09, 2026 · kickoff 11:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
FNL 2 DIVISION B (RUSSIA)
KDV Tomsk vs Krylya Sovetov Samara 2
Model pick: KDV Tomsk (61%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
9%
Krylya Sovetov Samara 2
Expected goals: 1.33 – 0.25
Total goals: 1.6
Over 2.5: 33%
Both teams score: 34%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| KDV Tomsk | Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.6 / 1.0 | 1.2 / 1.0 |
*KDV Tomsk shown at home, Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
KDV Tomsk — last 5
WWWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 67% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 — last 5
WDDDD
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | KDV Tomsk (home) | Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 67% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 50% |
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.2
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 67%
BTTS: 60%
Use these FNL 2 Division B (Russia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.33 vs 0.25):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (27%) |
| Double chance — KDV Tomsk or draw (1X) | 93% |
| Double chance — Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 or draw (X2) | 35% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 47% / 53% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 8% / 92% |
| KDV Tomsk clean sheet | 78% |
| Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 clean sheet | 26% |
🎯 Our Verdict
KDV Tomsk is the model's most likely outcome at
61%. KDV Tomsk are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (67% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ KDV Tomsk vs Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 — FAQ
Who will win KDV Tomsk vs Krylya Sovetov Samara 2?
Our statistical model makes KDV Tomsk the most likely result at 61%. Full probabilities: KDV Tomsk 61%, draw 30%, Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 9%.
Will both teams score in KDV Tomsk vs Krylya Sovetov Samara 2?
The model gives a 34% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in KDV Tomsk vs Krylya Sovetov Samara 2?
Expected goals are 1.33 for KDV Tomsk and 0.25 for Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 — about 1.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in KDV Tomsk vs Krylya Sovetov Samara 2?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (27%). Double chance for KDV Tomsk or draw is 93%.