Keith vs Deveronvale Prediction & Preview
Lowland League (Scotland) · Aug 19, 2026 · kickoff 19:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LOWLAND LEAGUE (SCOTLAND)
Keith vs Deveronvale
Model pick: Keith (70%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.48 – 0.09
Total goals: 1.6
Over 2.5: 33%
Both teams score: 24%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Keith | Deveronvale |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.8 | 0.0 / 2.33 |
*Keith shown at home, Deveronvale shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Keith — last 5
WLDLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
Deveronvale — last 5
LLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Keith (home) | Deveronvale (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 67% |
Lowland League (Scotland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.45
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 19%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 53%
Use these Lowland League (Scotland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.48 vs 0.09):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (31%) |
| Double chance — Keith or draw (1X) | 98% |
| Double chance — Deveronvale or draw (X2) | 26% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 47% / 53% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 7% / 93% |
| Keith clean sheet | 91% |
| Deveronvale clean sheet | 23% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Keith is the model's most likely outcome at
70%. Keith are backed at home, where they average 1.7 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (67% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Keith vs Deveronvale — FAQ
Who will win Keith vs Deveronvale?
Our statistical model makes Keith the most likely result at 70%. Full probabilities: Keith 70%, draw 27%, Deveronvale 3%.
Will both teams score in Keith vs Deveronvale?
The model gives a 24% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Keith vs Deveronvale?
Expected goals are 1.48 for Keith and 0.09 for Deveronvale — about 1.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Keith vs Deveronvale?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (31%). Double chance for Keith or draw is 98%.