Kezmarok vs Medzev Prediction & Preview
3 Liga (Slovakia) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 14:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 LIGA (SLOVAKIA)
Kezmarok vs Medzev
Model pick: Medzev (90%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.04 – 2.79
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams score: 18%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Kezmarok | Medzev |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.0 / 2.67 | 2.0 / 1.2 |
*Kezmarok shown at home, Medzev shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Kezmarok — last 5
LLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Medzev — last 5
LLWWW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 75% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Kezmarok (home) | Medzev (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 75% |
3 Liga (Slovakia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.58
Home wins: 53%
Draws: 15%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 68%
BTTS: 59%
Use these 3 Liga (Slovakia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.04 vs 2.79):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-2 (23%) |
| Double chance — Kezmarok or draw (1X) | 7% |
| Double chance — Medzev or draw (X2) | 100% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 93% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 77% / 23% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 31% / 69% |
| Kezmarok clean sheet | 6% |
| Medzev clean sheet | 96% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Medzev is the model's most likely outcome at
90%. Despite playing away, Medzev edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (47% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Kezmarok vs Medzev — FAQ
Who will win Kezmarok vs Medzev?
Our statistical model makes Medzev the most likely result at 90%. Full probabilities: Kezmarok 0%, draw 9%, Medzev 90%.
Will both teams score in Kezmarok vs Medzev?
The model gives a 18% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Kezmarok vs Medzev?
Expected goals are 0.04 for Kezmarok and 2.79 for Medzev — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Kezmarok vs Medzev?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-2 (23%). Double chance for Kezmarok or draw is 7%.