KFUM vs Molde Prediction & Preview
Eliteserien (Norway) · Jul 26, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ELITESERIEN (NORWAY)
KFUM vs Molde
Model pick: Molde (39%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.17 – 1.32
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| KFUM | Molde |
|---|
| League position | #13 (12 pts) | #5 (20 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.9 / 0.9 | 1.0 / 1.8 |
| Win rate this season* | 43% | 17% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.4 / 2.0 | 1.6 / 1.4 |
*KFUM shown at home, Molde shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
KFUM — last 5
LLLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 29% of the time; 56% of home games go over 2.5.
Molde — last 5
WLLDL
On the road: clean sheet 28% of the time; 66% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | KFUM (home) | Molde (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 3-1-3 in 7 (0.9 / 0.9 goals per game) | 1-2-3 in 6 (1.0 / 1.8 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 29% | 28% |
| Both teams scored | 59% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 66% |
Eliteserien (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.99
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Eliteserien (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.17 vs 1.32):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — KFUM or draw (1X) | 60% |
| Double chance — Molde or draw (X2) | 67% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 71% / 29% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 24% / 76% |
| KFUM clean sheet | 27% |
| Molde clean sheet | 31% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Molde is the model's most likely outcome at
39%. Despite playing away, Molde edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ KFUM vs Molde — FAQ
Who will win KFUM vs Molde?
Our statistical model makes Molde the most likely result at 39%. Full probabilities: KFUM 33%, draw 28%, Molde 39%.
Will both teams score in KFUM vs Molde?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in KFUM vs Molde?
Expected goals are 1.17 for KFUM and 1.32 for Molde — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in KFUM vs Molde?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for KFUM or draw is 60%.