Kheybar Khorramabad vs Foolad Prediction & Preview
Premier League (Iran) · Sep 02, 2026 · kickoff 14:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PREMIER LEAGUE (IRAN)
Kheybar Khorramabad vs Foolad
Model pick: Foolad (36%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.93 – 1.01
Total goals: 1.9
Over 2.5: 39%
Both teams score: 47%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Kheybar Khorramabad | Foolad |
|---|
| League position | #11 (2 pts) | #6 (5 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 2.0 | 1.5 / 0.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 50% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.6 | 1.6 / 0.4 |
*Kheybar Khorramabad shown at home, Foolad shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Kheybar Khorramabad — last 5
WLDDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 38% of the time; 41% of home games go over 2.5.
Foolad — last 5
WWDDW
On the road: clean sheet 39% of the time; 30% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Kheybar Khorramabad (home) | Foolad (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-1 in 2 (1.5 / 2.0 goals per game) | 1-1-0 in 2 (1.5 / 0.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 38% | 39% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 30% |
Premier League (Iran) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.01
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 35%
Away wins: 27%
Over 2.5: 33%
BTTS: 42%
Use these Premier League (Iran) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.93 vs 1.01):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (15%) |
| Double chance — Kheybar Khorramabad or draw (1X) | 64% |
| Double chance — Foolad or draw (X2) | 68% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 69% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 58% / 42% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 13% / 87% |
| Kheybar Khorramabad clean sheet | 36% |
| Foolad clean sheet | 39% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Foolad is the model's most likely outcome at
36%. Despite playing away, Foolad edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (61% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Kheybar Khorramabad vs Foolad — FAQ
Who will win Kheybar Khorramabad vs Foolad?
Our statistical model makes Foolad the most likely result at 36%. Full probabilities: Kheybar Khorramabad 32%, draw 32%, Foolad 36%.
Will both teams score in Kheybar Khorramabad vs Foolad?
The model gives a 47% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Kheybar Khorramabad vs Foolad?
Expected goals are 0.93 for Kheybar Khorramabad and 1.01 for Foolad — about 1.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Kheybar Khorramabad vs Foolad?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (15%). Double chance for Kheybar Khorramabad or draw is 64%.