Kheybar Khorramabad vs Paykan Prediction & Preview
Premier League (Iran) · Aug 24, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PREMIER LEAGUE (IRAN)
Kheybar Khorramabad vs Paykan
Model pick: Kheybar Khorramabad (42%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.03 – 0.67
Total goals: 1.7
Over 2.5: 35%
Both teams score: 43%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Kheybar Khorramabad | Paykan |
|---|
| League position | #10 (1 pts) | #13 (1 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 1.0 | 0.0 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 1.0 | 0.2 / 1.0 |
*Kheybar Khorramabad shown at home, Paykan shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Kheybar Khorramabad — last 5
LWWLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 39% of the time; 39% of home games go over 2.5.
Paykan — last 5
LDDLD
On the road: clean sheet 29% of the time; 36% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Kheybar Khorramabad (home) | Paykan (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-0 in 1 (1.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 39% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 54% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 36% |
Premier League (Iran) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.01
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 35%
Away wins: 27%
Over 2.5: 33%
BTTS: 41%
Use these Premier League (Iran) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.03 vs 0.67):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (19%) |
| Double chance — Kheybar Khorramabad or draw (1X) | 77% |
| Double chance — Paykan or draw (X2) | 57% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 67% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 51% / 49% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 9% / 91% |
| Kheybar Khorramabad clean sheet | 51% |
| Paykan clean sheet | 36% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Kheybar Khorramabad is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. Kheybar Khorramabad are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (65% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Kheybar Khorramabad vs Paykan — FAQ
Who will win Kheybar Khorramabad vs Paykan?
Our statistical model makes Kheybar Khorramabad the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: Kheybar Khorramabad 42%, draw 33%, Paykan 25%.
Will both teams score in Kheybar Khorramabad vs Paykan?
The model gives a 43% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Kheybar Khorramabad vs Paykan?
Expected goals are 1.03 for Kheybar Khorramabad and 0.67 for Paykan — about 1.7 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Kheybar Khorramabad vs Paykan?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (19%). Double chance for Kheybar Khorramabad or draw is 77%.