Khimik vs KDV Tomsk Prediction & Preview
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 10:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
FNL 2 DIVISION B (RUSSIA)
Khimik vs KDV Tomsk
Model pick: Khimik (50%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.14 – 0.45
Total goals: 1.6
Over 2.5: 33%
Both teams score: 39%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Khimik | KDV Tomsk |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.2 | 1.6 / 2.0 |
*Khimik shown at home, KDV Tomsk shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Khimik — last 5
WLWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 83% of home games go over 2.5.
KDV Tomsk — last 5
WWWLL
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 75% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Khimik (home) | KDV Tomsk (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 83% | 75% |
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.02
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 59%
Use these FNL 2 Division B (Russia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.14 vs 0.45):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (23%) |
| Double chance — Khimik or draw (1X) | 85% |
| Double chance — KDV Tomsk or draw (X2) | 47% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 68% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 47% / 53% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 8% / 92% |
| Khimik clean sheet | 64% |
| KDV Tomsk clean sheet | 32% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Khimik is the model's most likely outcome at
50%. Khimik are backed at home, where they average 3.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (67% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Khimik vs KDV Tomsk — FAQ
Who will win Khimik vs KDV Tomsk?
Our statistical model makes Khimik the most likely result at 50%. Full probabilities: Khimik 50%, draw 33%, KDV Tomsk 17%.
Will both teams score in Khimik vs KDV Tomsk?
The model gives a 39% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Khimik vs KDV Tomsk?
Expected goals are 1.14 for Khimik and 0.45 for KDV Tomsk — about 1.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Khimik vs KDV Tomsk?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (23%). Double chance for Khimik or draw is 85%.