Kilia Kiel vs Rotenhof Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Kilia Kiel vs Rotenhof
Model pick: Kilia Kiel (62%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.33 – 1.01
Total goals: 3.3
Over 2.5: 59%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Kilia Kiel | Rotenhof |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.2 | 2.0 / 3.4 |
*Kilia Kiel shown at home, Rotenhof shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Kilia Kiel — last 5
DWDWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Rotenhof — last 5
LWLDD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Kilia Kiel (home) | Rotenhof (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.43
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.33 vs 1.01):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Kilia Kiel or draw (1X) | 85% |
| Double chance — Rotenhof or draw (X2) | 33% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 82% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 85% / 15% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 43% / 57% |
| Kilia Kiel clean sheet | 36% |
| Rotenhof clean sheet | 10% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Kilia Kiel is the model's most likely outcome at
62%. Kilia Kiel are backed at home, where they average 3.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.3, this shapes as an open game (59% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Kilia Kiel vs Rotenhof — FAQ
Who will win Kilia Kiel vs Rotenhof?
Our statistical model makes Kilia Kiel the most likely result at 62%. Full probabilities: Kilia Kiel 62%, draw 21%, Rotenhof 17%.
Will both teams score in Kilia Kiel vs Rotenhof?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Kilia Kiel vs Rotenhof?
Expected goals are 2.33 for Kilia Kiel and 1.01 for Rotenhof — about 3.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Kilia Kiel vs Rotenhof?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (10%). Double chance for Kilia Kiel or draw is 85%.