Kiraly SE vs Dorogi Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Aug 12, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
Kiraly SE vs Dorogi
Model pick: Dorogi (62%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.41 – 2.79
Total goals: 4.2
Over 2.5: 68%
Both teams score: 62%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Kiraly SE | Dorogi |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.5 / 1.5 | 5.0 / 0.5 |
*Kiraly SE shown at home, Dorogi shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Kiraly SE — last 5
WL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Dorogi — last 5
WW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Kiraly SE (home) | Dorogi (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.7
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 74%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.41 vs 2.79):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-2 (8%) |
| Double chance — Kiraly SE or draw (1X) | 34% |
| Double chance — Dorogi or draw (X2) | 83% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 83% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 92% / 8% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 60% / 40% |
| Kiraly SE clean sheet | 6% |
| Dorogi clean sheet | 24% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Dorogi is the model's most likely outcome at
62%. Despite playing away, Dorogi edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 4.2, this shapes as an open game (68% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Kiraly SE vs Dorogi — FAQ
Who will win Kiraly SE vs Dorogi?
Our statistical model makes Dorogi the most likely result at 62%. Full probabilities: Kiraly SE 20%, draw 19%, Dorogi 62%.
Will both teams score in Kiraly SE vs Dorogi?
The model gives a 62% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Kiraly SE vs Dorogi?
Expected goals are 1.41 for Kiraly SE and 2.79 for Dorogi — about 4.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Kiraly SE vs Dorogi?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-2 (8%). Double chance for Kiraly SE or draw is 34%.