Kisvárda vs Győri ETO Prediction & Preview
NB I (Hungary) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB I (HUNGARY)
Kisvárda vs Győri ETO
Model pick: Győri ETO (52%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.82 – 1.58
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 47%
Both teams score: 50%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Kisvárda | Győri ETO |
|---|
| League position | #8 (5 pts) | #2 (8 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 1.7 | 1.5 / 1.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.4 | 1.8 / 0.6 |
*Kisvárda shown at home, Győri ETO shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Kisvárda — last 5
DWLLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 48% of home games go over 2.5.
Győri ETO — last 5
WLDDW
On the road: clean sheet 26% of the time; 55% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Kisvárda (home) | Győri ETO (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-2-1 in 3 (1.0 / 1.7 goals per game) | 0-2-0 in 2 (1.5 / 1.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 26% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 55% |
NB I (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.82
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 56%
Use these NB I (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.82 vs 1.58):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (14%) |
| Double chance — Kisvárda or draw (1X) | 45% |
| Double chance — Győri ETO or draw (X2) | 81% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 69% / 31% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 22% / 78% |
| Kisvárda clean sheet | 21% |
| Győri ETO clean sheet | 44% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Győri ETO is the model's most likely outcome at
52%. Despite playing away, Győri ETO edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (53% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Kisvárda vs Győri ETO — FAQ
Who will win Kisvárda vs Győri ETO?
Our statistical model makes Győri ETO the most likely result at 52%. Full probabilities: Kisvárda 21%, draw 27%, Győri ETO 52%.
Will both teams score in Kisvárda vs Győri ETO?
The model gives a 50% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Kisvárda vs Győri ETO?
Expected goals are 0.82 for Kisvárda and 1.58 for Győri ETO — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Kisvárda vs Győri ETO?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (14%). Double chance for Kisvárda or draw is 45%.