Kisvárda vs Honvéd Prediction & Preview
NB I (Hungary) · Jul 25, 2026 · kickoff 17:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB I (HUNGARY)
Kisvárda vs Honvéd
Model pick: Kisvárda (40%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.3 – 1.11
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 47%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Kisvárda | Honvéd |
|---|
| League position | #10 (0 pts) | #3 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 0.8 | 2.8 / 0.6 |
*Kisvárda shown at home, Honvéd shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Kisvárda — last 5
WLWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 49% of home games go over 2.5.
Honvéd — last 5
WWWWL
On the road: clean sheet 27% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Kisvárda (home) | Honvéd (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 27% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 50% |
NB I (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.81
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 56%
Use these NB I (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.3 vs 1.11):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Kisvárda or draw (1X) | 68% |
| Double chance — Honvéd or draw (X2) | 59% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 69% / 31% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 22% / 78% |
| Kisvárda clean sheet | 33% |
| Honvéd clean sheet | 27% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Kisvárda is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Kisvárda are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (53% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Kisvárda vs Honvéd — FAQ
Who will win Kisvárda vs Honvéd?
Our statistical model makes Kisvárda the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Kisvárda 40%, draw 28%, Honvéd 32%.
Will both teams score in Kisvárda vs Honvéd?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Kisvárda vs Honvéd?
Expected goals are 1.3 for Kisvárda and 1.11 for Honvéd — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Kisvárda vs Honvéd?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Kisvárda or draw is 68%.