Kleczew vs Chojniczanka Chojnice Prediction & Preview
II Liga (Poland) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
II LIGA (POLAND)
Kleczew vs Chojniczanka Chojnice
Model pick: Chojniczanka Chojnice (48%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.26 – 1.82
Total goals: 3.1
Over 2.5: 56%
Both teams score: 57%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Kleczew | Chojniczanka Chojnice |
|---|
| League position | #16 (5 pts) | #14 (6 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 0.0 | 1.0 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 50% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 2.8 | 1.0 / 2.0 |
*Kleczew shown at home, Chojniczanka Chojnice shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Kleczew — last 5
DDLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 29% of the time; 57% of home games go over 2.5.
Chojniczanka Chojnice — last 5
LLLWW
On the road: clean sheet 27% of the time; 52% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Kleczew (home) | Chojniczanka Chojnice (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-1-0 in 2 (1.5 / 0.0 goals per game) | 1-0-1 in 2 (1.0 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 29% | 27% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 52% |
II Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.75
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 54%
Use these II Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.26 vs 1.82):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Kleczew or draw (1X) | 49% |
| Double chance — Chojniczanka Chojnice or draw (X2) | 74% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 81% / 19% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 37% / 63% |
| Kleczew clean sheet | 16% |
| Chojniczanka Chojnice clean sheet | 28% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Chojniczanka Chojnice is the model's most likely outcome at
48%. Despite playing away, Chojniczanka Chojnice edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.1, this shapes as an open game (56% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
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❓ Kleczew vs Chojniczanka Chojnice — FAQ
Who will win Kleczew vs Chojniczanka Chojnice?
Our statistical model makes Chojniczanka Chojnice the most likely result at 48%. Full probabilities: Kleczew 28%, draw 24%, Chojniczanka Chojnice 48%.
Will both teams score in Kleczew vs Chojniczanka Chojnice?
The model gives a 57% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Kleczew vs Chojniczanka Chojnice?
Expected goals are 1.26 for Kleczew and 1.82 for Chojniczanka Chojnice — about 3.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Kleczew vs Chojniczanka Chojnice?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Kleczew or draw is 49%.