Kleczew vs Górnik Łęczna Prediction & Preview
II Liga (Poland) · Sep 04, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
II LIGA (POLAND)
Kleczew vs Górnik Łęczna
Model pick: Górnik Łęczna (46%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.37 – 1.83
Total goals: 3.2
Over 2.5: 58%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Kleczew | Górnik Łęczna |
|---|
| League position | #16 (6 pts) | #10 (7 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.3 / 0.3 | 1.3 / 1.7 |
| Win rate this season* | 33% | 33% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 3.0 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
*Kleczew shown at home, Górnik Łęczna shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Kleczew — last 5
DLWLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 27% of the time; 55% of home games go over 2.5.
Górnik Łęczna — last 5
LWLWD
On the road: clean sheet 18% of the time; 58% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Kleczew (home) | Górnik Łęczna (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-2-0 in 3 (1.3 / 0.3 goals per game) | 1-1-1 in 3 (1.3 / 1.7 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 27% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 58% |
II Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.75
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 54%
Use these II Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.37 vs 1.83):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Kleczew or draw (1X) | 52% |
| Double chance — Górnik Łęczna or draw (X2) | 71% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 83% / 17% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 40% / 60% |
| Kleczew clean sheet | 16% |
| Górnik Łęczna clean sheet | 25% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Górnik Łęczna is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. Despite playing away, Górnik Łęczna edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.2, this shapes as an open game (58% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Kleczew vs Górnik Łęczna — FAQ
Who will win Kleczew vs Górnik Łęczna?
Our statistical model makes Górnik Łęczna the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: Kleczew 30%, draw 24%, Górnik Łęczna 46%.
Will both teams score in Kleczew vs Górnik Łęczna?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Kleczew vs Górnik Łęczna?
Expected goals are 1.37 for Kleczew and 1.83 for Górnik Łęczna — about 3.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Kleczew vs Górnik Łęczna?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for Kleczew or draw is 52%.