Kleczew vs Podhale Nowy Targ Prediction & Preview
II Liga (Poland) · Aug 01, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
II LIGA (POLAND)
Kleczew vs Podhale Nowy Targ
Model pick: Podhale Nowy Targ (48%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.05 – 1.61
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Kleczew | Podhale Nowy Targ |
|---|
| League position | #12 (0 pts) | #17 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.0 | 3.0 / 1.2 |
*Kleczew shown at home, Podhale Nowy Targ shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Kleczew — last 5
LWLWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 21% of the time; 58% of home games go over 2.5.
Podhale Nowy Targ — last 5
WWLWW
On the road: clean sheet 29% of the time; 43% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Kleczew (home) | Podhale Nowy Targ (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 21% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 58% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 43% |
II Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.74
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 54%
Use these II Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.05 vs 1.61):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Kleczew or draw (1X) | 50% |
| Double chance — Podhale Nowy Targ or draw (X2) | 75% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 74% / 26% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 28% / 72% |
| Kleczew clean sheet | 20% |
| Podhale Nowy Targ clean sheet | 35% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Podhale Nowy Targ is the model's most likely outcome at
48%. Despite playing away, Podhale Nowy Targ edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Kleczew vs Podhale Nowy Targ — FAQ
Who will win Kleczew vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
Our statistical model makes Podhale Nowy Targ the most likely result at 48%. Full probabilities: Kleczew 26%, draw 26%, Podhale Nowy Targ 48%.
Will both teams score in Kleczew vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Kleczew vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
Expected goals are 1.05 for Kleczew and 1.61 for Podhale Nowy Targ — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Kleczew vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Kleczew or draw is 50%.