Klosterfelde vs Lichtenberg Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Klosterfelde vs Lichtenberg
Model pick: Lichtenberg (40%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.47 – 1.62
Total goals: 3.1
Over 2.5: 56%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Klosterfelde | Lichtenberg |
|---|
| League position | #10 (1 pts) | #2 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.25 / 2.25 | 1.25 / 3.75 |
*Klosterfelde shown at home, Lichtenberg shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Klosterfelde — last 5
LLWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Lichtenberg — last 5
LLDW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Klosterfelde (home) | Lichtenberg (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.43
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.47 vs 1.62):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Klosterfelde or draw (1X) | 59% |
| Double chance — Lichtenberg or draw (X2) | 65% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 81% / 19% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 37% / 63% |
| Klosterfelde clean sheet | 20% |
| Lichtenberg clean sheet | 23% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Lichtenberg is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Despite playing away, Lichtenberg edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.1, this shapes as an open game (56% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Klosterfelde vs Lichtenberg — FAQ
Who will win Klosterfelde vs Lichtenberg?
Our statistical model makes Lichtenberg the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Klosterfelde 35%, draw 25%, Lichtenberg 40%.
Will both teams score in Klosterfelde vs Lichtenberg?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Klosterfelde vs Lichtenberg?
Expected goals are 1.47 for Klosterfelde and 1.62 for Lichtenberg — about 3.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Klosterfelde vs Lichtenberg?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Klosterfelde or draw is 59%.