Kluczbork vs Zagłębie Lubin II Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 19, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Kluczbork vs Zagłębie Lubin II
Model pick: Draw (58%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.14 – 0.4
Total goals: 0.5
Over 2.5: 10%
Both teams score: 20%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Kluczbork | Zagłębie Lubin II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.4 | 0.6 / 2.2 |
*Kluczbork shown at home, Zagłębie Lubin II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Kluczbork — last 5
LDWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 13% of the time; 78% of home games go over 2.5.
Zagłębie Lubin II — last 5
LLLWD
On the road: clean sheet 11% of the time; 66% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Kluczbork (home) | Zagłębie Lubin II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 13% | 11% |
| Both teams scored | 78% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 78% | 66% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.15
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 62%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.14 vs 0.4):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (58%) |
| Double chance — Kluczbork or draw (1X) | 71% |
| Double chance — Zagłębie Lubin II or draw (X2) | 91% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 38% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 10% / 90% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Kluczbork clean sheet | 67% |
| Zagłębie Lubin II clean sheet | 87% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
58%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (90% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Kluczbork vs Zagłębie Lubin II — FAQ
Who will win Kluczbork vs Zagłębie Lubin II?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 58%. Full probabilities: Kluczbork 11%, draw 58%, Zagłębie Lubin II 31%.
Will both teams score in Kluczbork vs Zagłębie Lubin II?
The model gives a 20% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Kluczbork vs Zagłębie Lubin II?
Expected goals are 0.14 for Kluczbork and 0.4 for Zagłębie Lubin II — about 0.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Kluczbork vs Zagłębie Lubin II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (58%). Double chance for Kluczbork or draw is 71%.