Kluczevia Stargard vs Unia Swarzedz Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Kluczevia Stargard vs Unia Swarzedz
Model pick: Kluczevia Stargard (75%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.9 – 1.47
Total goals: 5.4
Over 2.5: 78%
Both teams score: 65%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Kluczevia Stargard | Unia Swarzedz |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.6 / 1.6 | 1.6 / 1.8 |
*Kluczevia Stargard shown at home, Unia Swarzedz shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Kluczevia Stargard — last 5
WDWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 20% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Unia Swarzedz — last 5
WWLLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 75% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Kluczevia Stargard (home) | Unia Swarzedz (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 20% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 75% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.24
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 65%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.9 vs 1.47):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-1 (7%) |
| Double chance — Kluczevia Stargard or draw (1X) | 90% |
| Double chance — Unia Swarzedz or draw (X2) | 20% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 89% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 97% / 3% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 78% / 22% |
| Kluczevia Stargard clean sheet | 23% |
| Unia Swarzedz clean sheet | 2% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Kluczevia Stargard is the model's most likely outcome at
75%. Kluczevia Stargard are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 5.4, this shapes as an open game (78% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Kluczevia Stargard vs Unia Swarzedz — FAQ
Who will win Kluczevia Stargard vs Unia Swarzedz?
Our statistical model makes Kluczevia Stargard the most likely result at 75%. Full probabilities: Kluczevia Stargard 75%, draw 13%, Unia Swarzedz 12%.
Will both teams score in Kluczevia Stargard vs Unia Swarzedz?
The model gives a 65% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Kluczevia Stargard vs Unia Swarzedz?
Expected goals are 3.9 for Kluczevia Stargard and 1.47 for Unia Swarzedz — about 5.4 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Kluczevia Stargard vs Unia Swarzedz?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-1 (7%). Double chance for Kluczevia Stargard or draw is 90%.