Komárno vs DAC Prediction & Preview
Super Liga (Slovakia) · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIGA (SLOVAKIA)
Komárno vs DAC
Model pick: DAC (45%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.83 – 1.55
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 46%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Komárno | DAC |
|---|
| League position | #9 (2 pts) | #5 (4 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 2.0 | 1.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.0 | 1.4 / 1.4 |
*Komárno shown at home, DAC shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Komárno — last 5
WDDLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 31% of the time; 54% of home games go over 2.5.
DAC — last 5
WDWWL
On the road: clean sheet 34% of the time; 48% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Komárno (home) | DAC (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-1 in 1 (1.0 / 2.0 goals per game) | 0-1-0 in 1 (1.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 31% | 34% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 48% |
Super Liga (Slovakia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.76
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Super Liga (Slovakia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.83 vs 1.55):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (14%) |
| Double chance — Komárno or draw (1X) | 46% |
| Double chance — DAC or draw (X2) | 80% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 69% / 31% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 22% / 78% |
| Komárno clean sheet | 21% |
| DAC clean sheet | 44% |
🎯 Our Verdict
DAC is the model's most likely outcome at
45%. Despite playing away, DAC edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (54% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Komárno vs DAC — FAQ
Who will win Komárno vs DAC?
Our statistical model makes DAC the most likely result at 45%. Full probabilities: Komárno 27%, draw 28%, DAC 45%.
Will both teams score in Komárno vs DAC?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Komárno vs DAC?
Expected goals are 0.83 for Komárno and 1.55 for DAC — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Komárno vs DAC?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (14%). Double chance for Komárno or draw is 46%.