Komaromi VSE vs Papai Perutz Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
Komaromi VSE vs Papai Perutz
Model pick: Draw (59%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.14 – 0.37
Total goals: 0.5
Over 2.5: 9%
Both teams score: 20%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Komaromi VSE | Papai Perutz |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.5 | 1.0 / 1.0 |
*Komaromi VSE shown at home, Papai Perutz shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Komaromi VSE — last 5
DW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Papai Perutz — last 5
LW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Komaromi VSE (home) | Papai Perutz (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.7
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 74%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.14 vs 0.37):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (60%) |
| Double chance — Komaromi VSE or draw (1X) | 72% |
| Double chance — Papai Perutz or draw (X2) | 91% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 37% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 9% / 91% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Komaromi VSE clean sheet | 69% |
| Papai Perutz clean sheet | 87% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
59%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (91% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Komaromi VSE vs Papai Perutz — FAQ
Who will win Komaromi VSE vs Papai Perutz?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 59%. Full probabilities: Komaromi VSE 12%, draw 59%, Papai Perutz 29%.
Will both teams score in Komaromi VSE vs Papai Perutz?
The model gives a 20% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Komaromi VSE vs Papai Perutz?
Expected goals are 0.14 for Komaromi VSE and 0.37 for Papai Perutz — about 0.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Komaromi VSE vs Papai Perutz?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (60%). Double chance for Komaromi VSE or draw is 72%.