Kongahalla vs Frolunda Prediction & Preview
Division 2 (Sweden) · Aug 14, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION 2 (SWEDEN)
Kongahalla vs Frolunda
Model pick: Kongahalla (100%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 14.9 – 0.19
Total goals: 15.1
Over 2.5: 26%
Both teams score: 15%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Kongahalla | Frolunda |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.5 / 2.0 | 2.0 / 2.5 |
*Kongahalla shown at home, Frolunda shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Kongahalla — last 5
DL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Frolunda — last 5
LD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Kongahalla (home) | Frolunda (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
Division 2 (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.17
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 24%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Division 2 (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (14.9 vs 0.19):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 8-0 (43%) |
| Double chance — Kongahalla or draw (1X) | 100% |
| Double chance — Frolunda or draw (X2) | 0% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 100% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Kongahalla clean sheet | 83% |
| Frolunda clean sheet | 0% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Kongahalla is the model's most likely outcome at
100%. Kongahalla are backed at home, where they average 0.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (74% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Kongahalla vs Frolunda — FAQ
Who will win Kongahalla vs Frolunda?
Our statistical model makes Kongahalla the most likely result at 100%. Full probabilities: Kongahalla 100%, draw 0%, Frolunda 0%.
Will both teams score in Kongahalla vs Frolunda?
The model gives a 15% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Kongahalla vs Frolunda?
Expected goals are 14.9 for Kongahalla and 0.19 for Frolunda — about 15.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Kongahalla vs Frolunda?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 8-0 (43%). Double chance for Kongahalla or draw is 100%.