Kongsvinger 2 vs Ulfstind Prediction & Preview
3 Divisjon (Norway) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 11:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 DIVISJON (NORWAY)
Kongsvinger 2 vs Ulfstind
Model pick: Ulfstind (55%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.3 – 4.45
Total goals: 7.8
Over 2.5: 89%
Both teams score: 81%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Kongsvinger 2 | Ulfstind |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 4.0 | 1.6 / 3.6 |
*Kongsvinger 2 shown at home, Ulfstind shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Kongsvinger 2 — last 5
LWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Ulfstind — last 5
WLLWL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Kongsvinger 2 (home) | Ulfstind (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
3 Divisjon (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.65
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 14%
Away wins: 37%
Over 2.5: 80%
BTTS: 68%
Use these 3 Divisjon (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.3 vs 4.45):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-4 (4%) |
| Double chance — Kongsvinger 2 or draw (1X) | 42% |
| Double chance — Ulfstind or draw (X2) | 72% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 86% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 95% / 5% |
| Kongsvinger 2 clean sheet | 1% |
| Ulfstind clean sheet | 4% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Ulfstind is the model's most likely outcome at
55%. Despite playing away, Ulfstind edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 7.8, this shapes as an open game (89% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Kongsvinger 2 vs Ulfstind — FAQ
Who will win Kongsvinger 2 vs Ulfstind?
Our statistical model makes Ulfstind the most likely result at 55%. Full probabilities: Kongsvinger 2 29%, draw 16%, Ulfstind 55%.
Will both teams score in Kongsvinger 2 vs Ulfstind?
The model gives a 81% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Kongsvinger 2 vs Ulfstind?
Expected goals are 3.3 for Kongsvinger 2 and 4.45 for Ulfstind — about 7.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Kongsvinger 2 vs Ulfstind?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-4 (4%). Double chance for Kongsvinger 2 or draw is 42%.