Kongsvinger vs Lyn Prediction & Preview
Adeccoligaen (Norway) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ADECCOLIGAEN (NORWAY)
Kongsvinger vs Lyn
Model pick: Lyn (40%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.59 – 1.74
Total goals: 3.3
Over 2.5: 59%
Both teams score: 60%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Kongsvinger | Lyn |
|---|
| League position | #2 (39 pts) | #11 (20 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 3.0 / 1.7 | 1.4 / 1.6 |
| Win rate this season* | 78% | 25% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 5.2 / 1.8 | 3.8 / 1.6 |
*Kongsvinger shown at home, Lyn shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Kongsvinger — last 5
WLWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 65% of home games go over 2.5.
Lyn — last 5
WDLWW
On the road: clean sheet 30% of the time; 64% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Kongsvinger (home) | Lyn (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 7-1-1 in 9 (3.0 / 1.7 goals per game) | 2-2-4 in 8 (1.4 / 1.6 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 62% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 64% |
Adeccoligaen (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.11
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 60%
Use these Adeccoligaen (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.59 vs 1.74):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Kongsvinger or draw (1X) | 58% |
| Double chance — Lyn or draw (X2) | 65% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 84% / 16% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 43% / 57% |
| Kongsvinger clean sheet | 18% |
| Lyn clean sheet | 20% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Lyn is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Despite playing away, Lyn edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.3, this shapes as an open game (59% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Kongsvinger vs Lyn — FAQ
Who will win Kongsvinger vs Lyn?
Our statistical model makes Lyn the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Kongsvinger 35%, draw 24%, Lyn 40%.
Will both teams score in Kongsvinger vs Lyn?
The model gives a 60% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Kongsvinger vs Lyn?
Expected goals are 1.59 for Kongsvinger and 1.74 for Lyn — about 3.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Kongsvinger vs Lyn?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for Kongsvinger or draw is 58%.