Konnerud vs Baerum Sportsklubb Prediction & Preview
3 Divisjon (Norway) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 11:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 DIVISJON (NORWAY)
Konnerud vs Baerum Sportsklubb
Model pick: Baerum Sportsklubb (97%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.0 – 7.62
Total goals: 8.6
Over 2.5: 73%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Konnerud | Baerum Sportsklubb |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.5 / 3.5 | 4.6 / 1.6 |
*Konnerud shown at home, Baerum Sportsklubb shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Konnerud — last 5
LLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Baerum Sportsklubb — last 5
WLWWW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Konnerud (home) | Baerum Sportsklubb (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
3 Divisjon (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.65
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 14%
Away wins: 37%
Over 2.5: 80%
BTTS: 68%
Use these 3 Divisjon (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.0 vs 7.62):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-7 (8%) |
| Double chance — Konnerud or draw (1X) | 2% |
| Double chance — Baerum Sportsklubb or draw (X2) | 99% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 99% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 96% / 4% |
| Konnerud clean sheet | 0% |
| Baerum Sportsklubb clean sheet | 37% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Baerum Sportsklubb is the model's most likely outcome at
97%. Despite playing away, Baerum Sportsklubb edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 8.6, this shapes as an open game (73% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Konnerud vs Baerum Sportsklubb — FAQ
Who will win Konnerud vs Baerum Sportsklubb?
Our statistical model makes Baerum Sportsklubb the most likely result at 97%. Full probabilities: Konnerud 1%, draw 2%, Baerum Sportsklubb 97%.
Will both teams score in Konnerud vs Baerum Sportsklubb?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Konnerud vs Baerum Sportsklubb?
Expected goals are 1.0 for Konnerud and 7.62 for Baerum Sportsklubb — about 8.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Konnerud vs Baerum Sportsklubb?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-7 (8%). Double chance for Konnerud or draw is 2%.