Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor Prediction & Preview
Super Lig (Turkey) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIG (TURKEY)
Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor
Model pick: Konyaspor (46%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.11 – 0.67
Total goals: 1.8
Over 2.5: 37%
Both teams score: 44%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Konyaspor | Kocaelispor |
|---|
| League position | #17 (0 pts) | #16 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.0 / 1.0 | 0.0 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.2 | 0.2 / 1.2 |
*Konyaspor shown at home, Kocaelispor shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Konyaspor — last 5
LLWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 35% of the time; 40% of home games go over 2.5.
Kocaelispor — last 5
LDLLL
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 40% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Konyaspor (home) | Kocaelispor (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 35% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Top scorer | Enis Bardhi (1) | – |
Super Lig (Turkey) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.81
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Super Lig (Turkey) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.11 vs 0.67):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (19%) |
| Double chance — Konyaspor or draw (1X) | 78% |
| Double chance — Kocaelispor or draw (X2) | 54% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 68% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 53% / 47% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 11% / 89% |
| Konyaspor clean sheet | 51% |
| Kocaelispor clean sheet | 33% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Konyaspor is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. Konyaspor are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (63% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor — FAQ
Who will win Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor?
Our statistical model makes Konyaspor the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: Konyaspor 46%, draw 28%, Kocaelispor 26%.
Will both teams score in Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor?
The model gives a 44% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor?
Expected goals are 1.11 for Konyaspor and 0.67 for Kocaelispor — about 1.8 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (19%). Double chance for Konyaspor or draw is 78%.