Konyaspor vs Rizespor Prediction & Preview
Super Lig (Turkey) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIG (TURKEY)
Konyaspor vs Rizespor
Model pick: Konyaspor (41%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.63 – 1.17
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Konyaspor | Rizespor |
|---|
| League position | #10 (0 pts) | #12 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.8 | 1.6 / 1.0 |
*Konyaspor shown at home, Rizespor shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Konyaspor — last 5
LWLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 35% of the time; 41% of home games go over 2.5.
Rizespor — last 5
WLDWW
On the road: clean sheet 16% of the time; 54% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Konyaspor (home) | Rizespor (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 35% | 16% |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 54% |
| Top scorer | Enis Bardhi (1) | – |
Super Lig (Turkey) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.81
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 56%
Use these Super Lig (Turkey) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.63 vs 1.17):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Konyaspor or draw (1X) | 73% |
| Double chance — Rizespor or draw (X2) | 52% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 77% / 23% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 31% / 69% |
| Konyaspor clean sheet | 31% |
| Rizespor clean sheet | 20% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Konyaspor is the model's most likely outcome at
41%. Konyaspor are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Konyaspor vs Rizespor — FAQ
Who will win Konyaspor vs Rizespor?
Our statistical model makes Konyaspor the most likely result at 41%. Full probabilities: Konyaspor 41%, draw 28%, Rizespor 31%.
Will both teams score in Konyaspor vs Rizespor?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Konyaspor vs Rizespor?
Expected goals are 1.63 for Konyaspor and 1.17 for Rizespor — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Konyaspor vs Rizespor?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Konyaspor or draw is 73%.