Koper vs Radomlje Prediction & Preview
1-SNL (Slovenia) · Jul 26, 2026 · kickoff 18:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
1-SNL (SLOVENIA)
Koper vs Radomlje
Model pick: Koper (61%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.22 – 0.97
Total goals: 3.2
Over 2.5: 57%
Both teams score: 55%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Koper | Radomlje |
|---|
| League position | #1 (3 pts) | #10 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.4 | 0.8 / 1.8 |
*Koper shown at home, Radomlje shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Koper — last 5
LLWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 34% of the time; 51% of home games go over 2.5.
Radomlje — last 5
LWLLL
On the road: clean sheet 22% of the time; 49% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Koper (home) | Radomlje (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 34% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 53% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 49% |
1-SNL (Slovenia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.72
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 51%
BTTS: 52%
Use these 1-SNL (Slovenia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.22 vs 0.97):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (10%) |
| Double chance — Koper or draw (1X) | 85% |
| Double chance — Radomlje or draw (X2) | 34% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 81% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 83% / 17% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 39% / 61% |
| Koper clean sheet | 38% |
| Radomlje clean sheet | 11% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Koper is the model's most likely outcome at
61%. Koper are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.2, this shapes as an open game (57% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Koper vs Radomlje — FAQ
Who will win Koper vs Radomlje?
Our statistical model makes Koper the most likely result at 61%. Full probabilities: Koper 61%, draw 21%, Radomlje 18%.
Will both teams score in Koper vs Radomlje?
The model gives a 55% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Koper vs Radomlje?
Expected goals are 2.22 for Koper and 0.97 for Radomlje — about 3.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Koper vs Radomlje?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (10%). Double chance for Koper or draw is 85%.