Korona Kielce II vs Hetman Zamosc Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 19, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Korona Kielce II vs Hetman Zamosc
Model pick: Korona Kielce II (100%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 10.33 – 0.29
Total goals: 10.6
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams score: 32%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Korona Kielce II | Hetman Zamosc |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.75 / 3.5 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
*Korona Kielce II shown at home, Hetman Zamosc shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Korona Kielce II — last 5
LDLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Hetman Zamosc — last 5
WLDDD
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Korona Kielce II (home) | Hetman Zamosc (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 33% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.15
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 62%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (10.33 vs 0.29):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 8-0 (26%) |
| Double chance — Korona Kielce II or draw (1X) | 100% |
| Double chance — Hetman Zamosc or draw (X2) | 0% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 100% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 98% / 2% |
| Korona Kielce II clean sheet | 75% |
| Hetman Zamosc clean sheet | 0% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Korona Kielce II is the model's most likely outcome at
100%. Korona Kielce II are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (47% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ Korona Kielce II vs Hetman Zamosc — FAQ
Who will win Korona Kielce II vs Hetman Zamosc?
Our statistical model makes Korona Kielce II the most likely result at 100%. Full probabilities: Korona Kielce II 100%, draw 0%, Hetman Zamosc 0%.
Will both teams score in Korona Kielce II vs Hetman Zamosc?
The model gives a 32% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Korona Kielce II vs Hetman Zamosc?
Expected goals are 10.33 for Korona Kielce II and 0.29 for Hetman Zamosc — about 10.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Korona Kielce II vs Hetman Zamosc?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 8-0 (26%). Double chance for Korona Kielce II or draw is 100%.