Korsnas vs Gute Prediction & Preview
Division 2 (Sweden) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 10:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION 2 (SWEDEN)
Korsnas vs Gute
Model pick: Gute (90%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.49 – 4.06
Total goals: 4.5
Over 2.5: 71%
Both teams score: 46%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Korsnas | Gute |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.67 / 3.0 | 2.0 / 1.67 |
*Korsnas shown at home, Gute shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Korsnas — last 5
LLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Gute — last 5
WLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Korsnas (home) | Gute (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 0% |
Division 2 (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.29
Home wins: 52%
Draws: 18%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Division 2 (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.49 vs 4.06):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-4 (12%) |
| Double chance — Korsnas or draw (1X) | 6% |
| Double chance — Gute or draw (X2) | 98% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 95% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 94% / 6% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 66% / 34% |
| Korsnas clean sheet | 2% |
| Gute clean sheet | 61% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Gute is the model's most likely outcome at
90%. Despite playing away, Gute edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 4.5, this shapes as an open game (71% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Korsnas vs Gute — FAQ
Who will win Korsnas vs Gute?
Our statistical model makes Gute the most likely result at 90%. Full probabilities: Korsnas 3%, draw 7%, Gute 90%.
Will both teams score in Korsnas vs Gute?
The model gives a 46% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Korsnas vs Gute?
Expected goals are 0.49 for Korsnas and 4.06 for Gute — about 4.5 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Korsnas vs Gute?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-4 (12%). Double chance for Korsnas or draw is 6%.