Kortrijk vs Sporting Charleroi Prediction & Preview
Pro League (Belgium) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 16:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PRO LEAGUE (BELGIUM)
Kortrijk vs Sporting Charleroi
Model pick: Sporting Charleroi (45%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.02 – 1.46
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Kortrijk | Sporting Charleroi |
|---|
| League position | #17 (0 pts) | #2 (9 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.0 / 3.0 | 1.0 / 0.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 100% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 1.8 | 2.0 / 1.0 |
*Kortrijk shown at home, Sporting Charleroi shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Kortrijk — last 5
WLLDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 24% of the time; 57% of home games go over 2.5.
Sporting Charleroi — last 5
WLWWW
On the road: clean sheet 26% of the time; 55% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Kortrijk (home) | Sporting Charleroi (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 3.0 goals per game) | 1-0-0 in 1 (1.0 / 0.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 24% | 26% |
| Both teams scored | 58% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 55% |
| Top scorer | – | Aurelien Scheidler (9) |
Pro League (Belgium) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.89
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 56%
Use these Pro League (Belgium) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.02 vs 1.46):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Kortrijk or draw (1X) | 53% |
| Double chance — Sporting Charleroi or draw (X2) | 74% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 71% / 29% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 24% / 76% |
| Kortrijk clean sheet | 23% |
| Sporting Charleroi clean sheet | 36% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Sporting Charleroi is the model's most likely outcome at
45%. Despite playing away, Sporting Charleroi edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Kortrijk vs Sporting Charleroi — FAQ
Who will win Kortrijk vs Sporting Charleroi?
Our statistical model makes Sporting Charleroi the most likely result at 45%. Full probabilities: Kortrijk 28%, draw 27%, Sporting Charleroi 45%.
Will both teams score in Kortrijk vs Sporting Charleroi?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Kortrijk vs Sporting Charleroi?
Expected goals are 1.02 for Kortrijk and 1.46 for Sporting Charleroi — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Kortrijk vs Sporting Charleroi?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Kortrijk or draw is 53%.