Kosmonosy vs Police nad Metuji Prediction & Preview
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 4 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Kosmonosy vs Police nad Metuji
Model pick: Kosmonosy (61%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.2 – 0.16
Total goals: 1.4
Over 2.5: 29%
Both teams score: 28%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Kosmonosy | Police nad Metuji |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 2.0 | 1.2 / 1.8 |
*Kosmonosy shown at home, Police nad Metuji shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Kosmonosy — last 5
LLWDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Police nad Metuji — last 5
WWLLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 75% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Kosmonosy (home) | Police nad Metuji (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 75% |
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.72
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 37%
Over 2.5: 75%
BTTS: 67%
Use these Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.2 vs 0.16):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (31%) |
| Double chance — Kosmonosy or draw (1X) | 95% |
| Double chance — Police nad Metuji or draw (X2) | 36% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 69% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 39% / 61% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 5% / 95% |
| Kosmonosy clean sheet | 85% |
| Police nad Metuji clean sheet | 30% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Kosmonosy is the model's most likely outcome at
61%. Kosmonosy are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (71% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Kosmonosy vs Police nad Metuji — FAQ
Who will win Kosmonosy vs Police nad Metuji?
Our statistical model makes Kosmonosy the most likely result at 61%. Full probabilities: Kosmonosy 61%, draw 32%, Police nad Metuji 7%.
Will both teams score in Kosmonosy vs Police nad Metuji?
The model gives a 28% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Kosmonosy vs Police nad Metuji?
Expected goals are 1.2 for Kosmonosy and 0.16 for Police nad Metuji — about 1.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Kosmonosy vs Police nad Metuji?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (31%). Double chance for Kosmonosy or draw is 95%.