Kosmos vs Spartak Moscow 2 Prediction & Preview
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 10:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
FNL 2 DIVISION B (RUSSIA)
Kosmos vs Spartak Moscow 2
Model pick: Draw (47%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.65 – 0.2
Total goals: 0.9
Over 2.5: 17%
Both teams score: 27%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Kosmos | Spartak Moscow 2 |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.6 | 0.33 / 0.67 |
*Kosmos shown at home, Spartak Moscow 2 shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Kosmos — last 5
WLLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Spartak Moscow 2 — last 5
LDD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Kosmos (home) | Spartak Moscow 2 (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 0% |
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.1
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 62%
Use these FNL 2 Division B (Russia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.65 vs 0.2):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (43%) |
| Double chance — Kosmos or draw (1X) | 90% |
| Double chance — Spartak Moscow 2 or draw (X2) | 59% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 52% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 21% / 79% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 1% / 99% |
| Kosmos clean sheet | 82% |
| Spartak Moscow 2 clean sheet | 52% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
47%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (83% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ Kosmos vs Spartak Moscow 2 — FAQ
Who will win Kosmos vs Spartak Moscow 2?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 47%. Full probabilities: Kosmos 41%, draw 47%, Spartak Moscow 2 12%.
Will both teams score in Kosmos vs Spartak Moscow 2?
The model gives a 27% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Kosmos vs Spartak Moscow 2?
Expected goals are 0.65 for Kosmos and 0.2 for Spartak Moscow 2 — about 0.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Kosmos vs Spartak Moscow 2?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (43%). Double chance for Kosmos or draw is 90%.