Kostinbrod vs Septemvri Sofia 2 Prediction & Preview
V AFG (Bulgaria) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
V AFG (BULGARIA)
Kostinbrod vs Septemvri Sofia 2
Model pick: Draw (39%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.76 – 0.51
Total goals: 1.3
Over 2.5: 27%
Both teams score: 37%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Kostinbrod | Septemvri Sofia 2 |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.0 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
*Kostinbrod shown at home, Septemvri Sofia 2 shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Kostinbrod — last 5
LWLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Septemvri Sofia 2 — last 5
WWDLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Kostinbrod (home) | Septemvri Sofia 2 (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 67% |
V AFG (Bulgaria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.17
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 60%
Use these V AFG (Bulgaria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.76 vs 0.51):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (28%) |
| Double chance — Kostinbrod or draw (1X) | 78% |
| Double chance — Septemvri Sofia 2 or draw (X2) | 62% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 60% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 36% / 64% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 4% / 96% |
| Kostinbrod clean sheet | 60% |
| Septemvri Sofia 2 clean sheet | 47% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
39%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (73% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Kostinbrod vs Septemvri Sofia 2 — FAQ
Who will win Kostinbrod vs Septemvri Sofia 2?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 39%. Full probabilities: Kostinbrod 37%, draw 39%, Septemvri Sofia 2 24%.
Will both teams score in Kostinbrod vs Septemvri Sofia 2?
The model gives a 37% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Kostinbrod vs Septemvri Sofia 2?
Expected goals are 0.76 for Kostinbrod and 0.51 for Septemvri Sofia 2 — about 1.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Kostinbrod vs Septemvri Sofia 2?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (28%). Double chance for Kostinbrod or draw is 78%.