Kottern-St. Mang vs TSV 1880 Wasserburg Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 21, 2026 · kickoff 16:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Kottern-St. Mang vs TSV 1880 Wasserburg
Model pick: TSV 1880 Wasserburg (44%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.83 – 3.05
Total goals: 5.9
Over 2.5: 82%
Both teams score: 75%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Kottern-St. Mang | TSV 1880 Wasserburg |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.2 | 1.8 / 3.0 |
*Kottern-St. Mang shown at home, TSV 1880 Wasserburg shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Kottern-St. Mang — last 5
WLLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 25% of home games go over 2.5.
TSV 1880 Wasserburg — last 5
LLLDW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Kottern-St. Mang (home) | TSV 1880 Wasserburg (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.12
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 31%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 57%
BTTS: 56%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.83 vs 3.05):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-3 (5%) |
| Double chance — Kottern-St. Mang or draw (1X) | 55% |
| Double chance — TSV 1880 Wasserburg or draw (X2) | 62% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 83% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 98% / 2% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 84% / 16% |
| Kottern-St. Mang clean sheet | 5% |
| TSV 1880 Wasserburg clean sheet | 6% |
🎯 Our Verdict
TSV 1880 Wasserburg is the model's most likely outcome at
44%. Despite playing away, TSV 1880 Wasserburg edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 5.9, this shapes as an open game (82% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Kottern-St. Mang vs TSV 1880 Wasserburg — FAQ
Who will win Kottern-St. Mang vs TSV 1880 Wasserburg?
Our statistical model makes TSV 1880 Wasserburg the most likely result at 44%. Full probabilities: Kottern-St. Mang 38%, draw 19%, TSV 1880 Wasserburg 44%.
Will both teams score in Kottern-St. Mang vs TSV 1880 Wasserburg?
The model gives a 75% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Kottern-St. Mang vs TSV 1880 Wasserburg?
Expected goals are 2.83 for Kottern-St. Mang and 3.05 for TSV 1880 Wasserburg — about 5.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Kottern-St. Mang vs TSV 1880 Wasserburg?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-3 (5%). Double chance for Kottern-St. Mang or draw is 55%.