Kotwica Kornik vs Kalisz Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Kotwica Kornik vs Kalisz
Model pick: Kalisz (100%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.0 – 45.17
Total goals: 45.2
Over 2.5: 0%
Both teams score: 0%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Kotwica Kornik | Kalisz |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 2.2 | 0.8 / 1.6 |
*Kotwica Kornik shown at home, Kalisz shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Kotwica Kornik — last 5
WWLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Kalisz — last 5
LDWLW
On the road: clean sheet 36% of the time; 43% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Kotwica Kornik (home) | Kalisz (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 36% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 37% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 43% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.15
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 62%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.0 vs 45.17):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-8 (83%) |
| Double chance — Kotwica Kornik or draw (1X) | 0% |
| Double chance — Kalisz or draw (X2) | 100% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 100% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Kotwica Kornik clean sheet | 0% |
| Kalisz clean sheet | 100% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Kalisz is the model's most likely outcome at
100%. Despite playing away, Kalisz edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (100% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Kotwica Kornik vs Kalisz — FAQ
Who will win Kotwica Kornik vs Kalisz?
Our statistical model makes Kalisz the most likely result at 100%. Full probabilities: Kotwica Kornik 0%, draw 0%, Kalisz 100%.
Will both teams score in Kotwica Kornik vs Kalisz?
The model gives a 0% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Kotwica Kornik vs Kalisz?
Expected goals are 0.0 for Kotwica Kornik and 45.17 for Kalisz — about 45.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Kotwica Kornik vs Kalisz?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-8 (83%). Double chance for Kotwica Kornik or draw is 0%.