KR vs Breidablik Prediction & Preview
Urvalsdeild (Iceland) · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
URVALSDEILD (ICELAND)
KR vs Breidablik
Model pick: KR (56%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.82 – 1.78
Total goals: 3.6
Over 2.5: 62%
Both teams score: 69%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| KR | Breidablik |
|---|
| League position | n/a | #30 (5 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 0.3 / 2.7 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.8 / 1.6 | 0.8 / 1.0 |
*KR shown at home, Breidablik shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
KR — last 5
DWWDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 28% of the time; 58% of home games go over 2.5.
Breidablik — last 5
WDWLL
On the road: clean sheet 31% of the time; 55% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | KR (home) | Breidablik (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | 0-0-3 in 3 (0.3 / 2.7 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 28% | 31% |
| Both teams scored | 61% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 55% |
Urvalsdeild (Iceland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.21
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 61%
BTTS: 61%
Use these Urvalsdeild (Iceland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.82 vs 1.78):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (9%) |
| Double chance — KR or draw (1X) | 62% |
| Double chance — Breidablik or draw (X2) | 60% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 87% / 13% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 48% / 52% |
| KR clean sheet | 17% |
| Breidablik clean sheet | 16% |
🎯 Our Verdict
KR is the model's most likely outcome at
56%. KR are backed at home, where they average 1.8 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.6, this shapes as an open game (62% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ KR vs Breidablik — FAQ
Who will win KR vs Breidablik?
Our statistical model makes KR the most likely result at 56%. Full probabilities: KR 56%, draw 20%, Breidablik 24%.
Will both teams score in KR vs Breidablik?
The model gives a 69% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in KR vs Breidablik?
Expected goals are 1.82 for KR and 1.78 for Breidablik — about 3.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in KR vs Breidablik?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (9%). Double chance for KR or draw is 62%.