KR vs Víkingur Reykjavík Prediction & Preview
Urvalsdeild (Iceland) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
URVALSDEILD (ICELAND)
KR vs Víkingur Reykjavík
Model pick: Víkingur Reykjavík (46%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.83 – 2.27
Total goals: 4.1
Over 2.5: 67%
Both teams score: 65%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| KR | Víkingur Reykjavík |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.8 / 1.8 | 2.4 / 1.8 |
*KR shown at home, Víkingur Reykjavík shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
KR — last 5
WDWDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 28% of the time; 58% of home games go over 2.5.
Víkingur Reykjavík — last 5
DWWLW
On the road: clean sheet 24% of the time; 66% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | KR (home) | Víkingur Reykjavík (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 28% | 24% |
| Both teams scored | 61% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 66% |
Urvalsdeild (Iceland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.23
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 61%
Use these Urvalsdeild (Iceland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.83 vs 2.27):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-2 (8%) |
| Double chance — KR or draw (1X) | 52% |
| Double chance — Víkingur Reykjavík or draw (X2) | 68% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 80% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 92% / 8% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 59% / 41% |
| KR clean sheet | 10% |
| Víkingur Reykjavík clean sheet | 16% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Víkingur Reykjavík is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. Despite playing away, Víkingur Reykjavík edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 4.1, this shapes as an open game (67% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ KR vs Víkingur Reykjavík — FAQ
Who will win KR vs Víkingur Reykjavík?
Our statistical model makes Víkingur Reykjavík the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: KR 32%, draw 22%, Víkingur Reykjavík 46%.
Will both teams score in KR vs Víkingur Reykjavík?
The model gives a 65% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in KR vs Víkingur Reykjavík?
Expected goals are 1.83 for KR and 2.27 for Víkingur Reykjavík — about 4.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in KR vs Víkingur Reykjavík?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-2 (8%). Double chance for KR or draw is 52%.