Kromeriz B vs FK Kozlovice Prediction & Preview
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 4 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Kromeriz B vs FK Kozlovice
Model pick: FK Kozlovice (60%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.15 – 1.17
Total goals: 1.3
Over 2.5: 28%
Both teams score: 28%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Kromeriz B | FK Kozlovice |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.33 / 2.33 | 2.6 / 1.2 |
*Kromeriz B shown at home, FK Kozlovice shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Kromeriz B — last 5
LDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
FK Kozlovice — last 5
WWDWW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Kromeriz B (home) | FK Kozlovice (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.65
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 71%
BTTS: 65%
Use these Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.15 vs 1.17):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (31%) |
| Double chance — Kromeriz B or draw (1X) | 36% |
| Double chance — FK Kozlovice or draw (X2) | 95% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 68% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 38% / 62% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 5% / 95% |
| Kromeriz B clean sheet | 31% |
| FK Kozlovice clean sheet | 86% |
🎯 Our Verdict
FK Kozlovice is the model's most likely outcome at
60%. Despite playing away, FK Kozlovice edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (72% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Kromeriz B vs FK Kozlovice — FAQ
Who will win Kromeriz B vs FK Kozlovice?
Our statistical model makes FK Kozlovice the most likely result at 60%. Full probabilities: Kromeriz B 6%, draw 33%, FK Kozlovice 60%.
Will both teams score in Kromeriz B vs FK Kozlovice?
The model gives a 28% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Kromeriz B vs FK Kozlovice?
Expected goals are 0.15 for Kromeriz B and 1.17 for FK Kozlovice — about 1.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Kromeriz B vs FK Kozlovice?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (31%). Double chance for Kromeriz B or draw is 36%.