Krumovgrad vs Neftohimik Prediction & Preview
V AFG (Bulgaria) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
V AFG (BULGARIA)
Krumovgrad vs Neftohimik
Model pick: Krumovgrad (51%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.67 – 1.91
Total goals: 4.6
Over 2.5: 72%
Both teams score: 67%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Krumovgrad | Neftohimik |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.6 | 1.4 / 1.6 |
*Krumovgrad shown at home, Neftohimik shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Krumovgrad — last 5
LLWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 36% of the time; 42% of home games go over 2.5.
Neftohimik — last 5
LWLDW
On the road: clean sheet 18% of the time; 53% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Krumovgrad (home) | Neftohimik (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 36% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 39% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 53% |
V AFG (Bulgaria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.08
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 60%
Use these V AFG (Bulgaria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.67 vs 1.91):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (7%) |
| Double chance — Krumovgrad or draw (1X) | 73% |
| Double chance — Neftohimik or draw (X2) | 46% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 82% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 94% / 6% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 67% / 33% |
| Krumovgrad clean sheet | 15% |
| Neftohimik clean sheet | 7% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Krumovgrad is the model's most likely outcome at
51%. Krumovgrad are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.6, this shapes as an open game (72% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Krumovgrad vs Neftohimik — FAQ
Who will win Krumovgrad vs Neftohimik?
Our statistical model makes Krumovgrad the most likely result at 51%. Full probabilities: Krumovgrad 51%, draw 20%, Neftohimik 28%.
Will both teams score in Krumovgrad vs Neftohimik?
The model gives a 67% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Krumovgrad vs Neftohimik?
Expected goals are 2.67 for Krumovgrad and 1.91 for Neftohimik — about 4.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Krumovgrad vs Neftohimik?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (7%). Double chance for Krumovgrad or draw is 73%.