Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod Prediction & Preview
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) · Aug 02, 2026 · kickoff 09:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
FNL 2 DIVISION B (RUSSIA)
Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
Model pick: Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod (46%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
18%
Krylya Sovetov Samara 2
46%
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
Expected goals: 0.42 – 0.97
Total goals: 1.4
Over 2.5: 29%
Both teams score: 37%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 | Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.25 / 1.0 | 1.75 / 0.5 |
*Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 shown at home, Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 — last 5
WDDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod — last 5
WDWW
On the road: clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 (home) | Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 0% |
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.97
Home wins: 37%
Draws: 29%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 58%
Use these FNL 2 Division B (Russia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.42 vs 0.97):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (25%) |
| Double chance — Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 or draw (1X) | 52% |
| Double chance — Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod or draw (X2) | 84% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 64% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 40% / 60% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 5% / 95% |
| Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 clean sheet | 38% |
| Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod clean sheet | 66% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. Despite playing away, Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (71% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod — FAQ
Who will win Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod?
Our statistical model makes Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 18%, draw 36%, Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 46%.
Will both teams score in Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod?
The model gives a 37% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod?
Expected goals are 0.42 for Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 and 0.97 for Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod — about 1.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (25%). Double chance for Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 or draw is 52%.