ŁKS Łódź II vs LKS Lomza Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
ŁKS Łódź II vs LKS Lomza
Model pick: LKS Lomza (39%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.02 – 1.2
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 44%
Both teams score: 50%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| ŁKS Łódź II | LKS Lomza |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.4 | 1.0 / 2.0 |
*ŁKS Łódź II shown at home, LKS Lomza shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
ŁKS Łódź II — last 5
LLLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 26% of the time; 53% of home games go over 2.5.
LKS Lomza — last 5
LLLDD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | ŁKS Łódź II (home) | LKS Lomza (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 26% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 53% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 50% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.24
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 63%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.02 vs 1.2):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — ŁKS Łódź II or draw (1X) | 60% |
| Double chance — LKS Lomza or draw (X2) | 69% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 71% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 65% / 35% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 18% / 82% |
| ŁKS Łódź II clean sheet | 30% |
| LKS Lomza clean sheet | 36% |
🎯 Our Verdict
LKS Lomza is the model's most likely outcome at
39%. Despite playing away, LKS Lomza edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (56% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ ŁKS Łódź II vs LKS Lomza — FAQ
Who will win ŁKS Łódź II vs LKS Lomza?
Our statistical model makes LKS Lomza the most likely result at 39%. Full probabilities: ŁKS Łódź II 31%, draw 30%, LKS Lomza 39%.
Will both teams score in ŁKS Łódź II vs LKS Lomza?
The model gives a 50% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in ŁKS Łódź II vs LKS Lomza?
Expected goals are 1.02 for ŁKS Łódź II and 1.2 for LKS Lomza — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in ŁKS Łódź II vs LKS Lomza?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for ŁKS Łódź II or draw is 60%.