KS Wieczysta Krakow II vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 10:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
KS Wieczysta Krakow II vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Model pick: KS Wieczysta Krakow II (43%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
43%
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
Expected goals: 1.17 – 0.79
Total goals: 2.0
Over 2.5: 40%
Both teams score: 46%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| KS Wieczysta Krakow II | Siarka Tarnobrzeg |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
*KS Wieczysta Krakow II shown at home, Siarka Tarnobrzeg shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
KS Wieczysta Krakow II — last 5
LWDWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
Siarka Tarnobrzeg — last 5
LWLLW
On the road: clean sheet 32% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | KS Wieczysta Krakow II (home) | Siarka Tarnobrzeg (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 32% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 50% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.23
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 62%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.17 vs 0.79):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (16%) |
| Double chance — KS Wieczysta Krakow II or draw (1X) | 75% |
| Double chance — Siarka Tarnobrzeg or draw (X2) | 55% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 70% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 58% / 42% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 14% / 86% |
| KS Wieczysta Krakow II clean sheet | 45% |
| Siarka Tarnobrzeg clean sheet | 31% |
🎯 Our Verdict
KS Wieczysta Krakow II is the model's most likely outcome at
43%. KS Wieczysta Krakow II are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (60% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ KS Wieczysta Krakow II vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg — FAQ
Who will win KS Wieczysta Krakow II vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg?
Our statistical model makes KS Wieczysta Krakow II the most likely result at 43%. Full probabilities: KS Wieczysta Krakow II 43%, draw 31%, Siarka Tarnobrzeg 26%.
Will both teams score in KS Wieczysta Krakow II vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg?
The model gives a 46% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in KS Wieczysta Krakow II vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg?
Expected goals are 1.17 for KS Wieczysta Krakow II and 0.79 for Siarka Tarnobrzeg — about 2.0 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in KS Wieczysta Krakow II vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (16%). Double chance for KS Wieczysta Krakow II or draw is 75%.