Kudrivka vs Obolon Kyiv Prediction & Preview
Premier League (Ukraine) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 12:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PREMIER LEAGUE (UKRAINE)
Kudrivka vs Obolon Kyiv
Model pick: Kudrivka (43%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.31 – 0.95
Total goals: 2.3
Over 2.5: 45%
Both teams score: 50%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Kudrivka | Obolon Kyiv |
|---|
| League position | #13 (1 pts) | #12 (1 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 0.0 / 1.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 1.4 | 1.0 / 1.4 |
*Kudrivka shown at home, Obolon Kyiv shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Kudrivka — last 5
WLWLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 26% of the time; 63% of home games go over 2.5.
Obolon Kyiv — last 5
WDLLD
On the road: clean sheet 24% of the time; 49% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Kudrivka (home) | Obolon Kyiv (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | 0-1-1 in 2 (0.0 / 1.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 26% | 24% |
| Both teams scored | 68% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 49% |
| Top scorer | – | Denys Ustymenko (4) |
Premier League (Ukraine) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.49
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 45%
BTTS: 45%
Use these Premier League (Ukraine) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.31 vs 0.95):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (14%) |
| Double chance — Kudrivka or draw (1X) | 73% |
| Double chance — Obolon Kyiv or draw (X2) | 55% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 66% / 34% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 19% / 81% |
| Kudrivka clean sheet | 39% |
| Obolon Kyiv clean sheet | 27% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Kudrivka is the model's most likely outcome at
43%. Kudrivka are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (55% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Kudrivka vs Obolon Kyiv — FAQ
Who will win Kudrivka vs Obolon Kyiv?
Our statistical model makes Kudrivka the most likely result at 43%. Full probabilities: Kudrivka 43%, draw 29%, Obolon Kyiv 28%.
Will both teams score in Kudrivka vs Obolon Kyiv?
The model gives a 50% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Kudrivka vs Obolon Kyiv?
Expected goals are 1.31 for Kudrivka and 0.95 for Obolon Kyiv — about 2.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Kudrivka vs Obolon Kyiv?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (14%). Double chance for Kudrivka or draw is 73%.