Kudrivka vs Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction & Preview
Premier League (Ukraine) · Aug 03, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PREMIER LEAGUE (UKRAINE)
Kudrivka vs Shakhtar Donetsk
Model pick: Shakhtar Donetsk (79%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.7 – 2.62
Total goals: 3.3
Over 2.5: 59%
Both teams score: 44%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Kudrivka | Shakhtar Donetsk |
|---|
| League position | #16 (0 pts) | #6 (13 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 2.3 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 100% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.4 | 1.8 / 0.4 |
*Kudrivka shown at home, Shakhtar Donetsk shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Kudrivka — last 5
WLWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 26% of the time; 63% of home games go over 2.5.
Shakhtar Donetsk — last 5
WDWDD
On the road: clean sheet 54% of the time; 54% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Kudrivka (home) | Shakhtar Donetsk (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | 3-0-0 in 3 (2.3 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 26% | 54% |
| Both teams scored | 68% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 54% |
Premier League (Ukraine) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.49
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 45%
BTTS: 45%
Use these Premier League (Ukraine) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.7 vs 2.62):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-2 (12%) |
| Double chance — Kudrivka or draw (1X) | 22% |
| Double chance — Shakhtar Donetsk or draw (X2) | 92% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 86% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 84% / 16% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 42% / 58% |
| Kudrivka clean sheet | 7% |
| Shakhtar Donetsk clean sheet | 50% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Shakhtar Donetsk is the model's most likely outcome at
79%. Despite playing away, Shakhtar Donetsk edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.3, this shapes as an open game (59% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Kudrivka vs Shakhtar Donetsk — FAQ
Who will win Kudrivka vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Our statistical model makes Shakhtar Donetsk the most likely result at 79%. Full probabilities: Kudrivka 7%, draw 14%, Shakhtar Donetsk 79%.
Will both teams score in Kudrivka vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
The model gives a 44% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Kudrivka vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Expected goals are 0.7 for Kudrivka and 2.62 for Shakhtar Donetsk — about 3.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Kudrivka vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-2 (12%). Double chance for Kudrivka or draw is 22%.