Kufstein vs Fugen Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Austria) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (AUSTRIA)
Kufstein vs Fugen
Model pick: Fugen (38%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.26 – 1.32
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 49%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Kufstein | Fugen |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.0 | 3.0 / 1.5 |
*Kufstein shown at home, Fugen shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Kufstein — last 5
WDWDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Fugen — last 5
WLWL
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Kufstein (home) | Fugen (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 50% |
Regionalliga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.24
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 59%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Regionalliga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.26 vs 1.32):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Kufstein or draw (1X) | 62% |
| Double chance — Fugen or draw (X2) | 65% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 73% / 27% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 26% / 74% |
| Kufstein clean sheet | 27% |
| Fugen clean sheet | 28% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Fugen is the model's most likely outcome at
38%. Despite playing away, Fugen edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (51% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Kufstein vs Fugen — FAQ
Who will win Kufstein vs Fugen?
Our statistical model makes Fugen the most likely result at 38%. Full probabilities: Kufstein 35%, draw 28%, Fugen 38%.
Will both teams score in Kufstein vs Fugen?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Kufstein vs Fugen?
Expected goals are 1.26 for Kufstein and 1.32 for Fugen — about 2.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Kufstein vs Fugen?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Kufstein or draw is 62%.