Kurim vs Humpolec Prediction & Preview
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 08:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 4 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Kurim vs Humpolec
Model pick: Kurim (41%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.46 – 1.22
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Kurim | Humpolec |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.8 / 2.8 | 1.0 / 1.0 |
*Kurim shown at home, Humpolec shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Kurim — last 5
DWWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Humpolec — last 5
WDLD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Kurim (home) | Humpolec (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.02
Home wins: 35%
Draws: 34%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.46 vs 1.22):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Kurim or draw (1X) | 68% |
| Double chance — Humpolec or draw (X2) | 57% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 75% / 25% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 28% / 72% |
| Kurim clean sheet | 30% |
| Humpolec clean sheet | 23% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Kurim is the model's most likely outcome at
41%. Kurim are backed at home, where they average 4.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (49% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Kurim vs Humpolec — FAQ
Who will win Kurim vs Humpolec?
Our statistical model makes Kurim the most likely result at 41%. Full probabilities: Kurim 41%, draw 27%, Humpolec 32%.
Will both teams score in Kurim vs Humpolec?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Kurim vs Humpolec?
Expected goals are 1.46 for Kurim and 1.22 for Humpolec — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Kurim vs Humpolec?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Kurim or draw is 68%.