Kurim vs Tasovice Prediction & Preview
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 08:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 4 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Kurim vs Tasovice
Model pick: Kurim (54%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.85 – 1.88
Total goals: 4.7
Over 2.5: 73%
Both teams score: 68%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Kurim | Tasovice |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.6 / 2.2 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
*Kurim shown at home, Tasovice shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Kurim — last 5
WLLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Tasovice — last 5
WWLDD
On the road: clean sheet 67% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Kurim (home) | Tasovice (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 33% |
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.72
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 37%
Over 2.5: 75%
BTTS: 67%
Use these Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.85 vs 1.88):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (7%) |
| Double chance — Kurim or draw (1X) | 75% |
| Double chance — Tasovice or draw (X2) | 42% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 83% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 95% / 5% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 69% / 31% |
| Kurim clean sheet | 15% |
| Tasovice clean sheet | 6% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Kurim is the model's most likely outcome at
54%. Kurim are backed at home, where they average 3.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.7, this shapes as an open game (73% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Kurim vs Tasovice — FAQ
Who will win Kurim vs Tasovice?
Our statistical model makes Kurim the most likely result at 54%. Full probabilities: Kurim 54%, draw 19%, Tasovice 26%.
Will both teams score in Kurim vs Tasovice?
The model gives a 68% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Kurim vs Tasovice?
Expected goals are 2.85 for Kurim and 1.88 for Tasovice — about 4.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Kurim vs Tasovice?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (7%). Double chance for Kurim or draw is 75%.