Lübeck vs Drochtersen/Assel Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Lübeck vs Drochtersen/Assel
Model pick: Drochtersen/Assel (80%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.9 – 3.55
Total goals: 4.5
Over 2.5: 71%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Lübeck | Drochtersen/Assel |
|---|
| League position | #16 (2 pts) | #8 (6 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 1.0 | 2.5 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 50% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.4 / 1.6 | 2.6 / 1.4 |
*Lübeck shown at home, Drochtersen/Assel shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Lübeck — last 5
DDLDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 26% of the time; 40% of home games go over 2.5.
Drochtersen/Assel — last 5
WWLLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Lübeck (home) | Drochtersen/Assel (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-2-0 in 2 (1.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | 1-0-1 in 2 (2.5 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 26% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 100% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.24
Home wins: 36%
Draws: 29%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.9 vs 3.55):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-3 (9%) |
| Double chance — Lübeck or draw (1X) | 15% |
| Double chance — Drochtersen/Assel or draw (X2) | 94% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 91% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 94% / 6% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 65% / 35% |
| Lübeck clean sheet | 3% |
| Drochtersen/Assel clean sheet | 41% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Drochtersen/Assel is the model's most likely outcome at
80%. Despite playing away, Drochtersen/Assel edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 4.5, this shapes as an open game (71% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Lübeck vs Drochtersen/Assel — FAQ
Who will win Lübeck vs Drochtersen/Assel?
Our statistical model makes Drochtersen/Assel the most likely result at 80%. Full probabilities: Lübeck 8%, draw 12%, Drochtersen/Assel 80%.
Will both teams score in Lübeck vs Drochtersen/Assel?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Lübeck vs Drochtersen/Assel?
Expected goals are 0.9 for Lübeck and 3.55 for Drochtersen/Assel — about 4.5 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Lübeck vs Drochtersen/Assel?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-3 (9%). Double chance for Lübeck or draw is 15%.